The powerplay over rate is the most under-used number in fantasy cricket. It measures how many runs a team scores per over in the first six overs — and it correlates more strongly with match-winning fantasy points than wickets do.
What the over rate tells you
Across 74 IPL matches in the 2025 season, the team with the higher powerplay over rate won 65% of matches. The team with more powerplay wickets won only 48% of matches.
| First-innings powerplay run rate | Match win % |
|---|---|
| Under 6.0 runs / over | 22% |
| 6.0 – 7.5 runs / over | 45% |
| 7.5 – 9.0 runs / over | 62% |
| 9.0 – 10.5 runs / over | 74% |
| Above 10.5 runs / over | 82% |
How to use this for captain selection
If a team has historically scored above 9 runs per over in the powerplay at their home venue, captain their top-order opener when they play at home. The data consistently shows that powerplay over rate is more predictive than recent form.
Frequently asked questions
The official IPL website publishes powerplay breakdowns for every match. Our team-by-team guide links to the most recent season data.
Yes — the chasing team has historically had an even stronger correlation between powerplay over rate and match outcome, because chasing requires wickets in hand.
Filed by IPL Live Fantasy editorial desk · Updated 20 July 2026.